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Only in Canada Would The Government want to Slow down The one thing That is working

+10
Deank
holly golightly
Miz point
Freeman
grumpy old man
grumpyrom
GGF
sputnik
JT Estoban
rosencrentz
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Guest


Guest

No money down and 35 year amortizations will lead to a collapse of the market, just like the States.

Those two areas shouldn't affect most buyers....just the spectulators....and that's a good thing imo.

GGF

GGF
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Freeman you said:

But what has caused the incease in prices, is that not because there is a demand created by more buyers, many of whom can "afford" to buy because of the requirement for a minimal down stroke?

Nope...Lower interest rates in Canada is what has mainly fueled the mortgage market...and...

And the 5% down rule has always only applied to those who have perfect credit generally speaking...GGF

grumpyrom

grumpyrom
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I get what your saying Freeman but given that the prices have already risen so dramatically in such a short period, it would have a drastic negative effect to double the down payment at this time.

7 years ago my best friend bought his home in River Heights for $135,000...at that time a 10% down payment would have been $13.5K. Same home now would fetch around $250-260,000...at 5% down right now you can buy that home with roughly the same down payment BUT the mortgage payments would be roughly double. Now double the down payment to 10% and you need an extra $13K...PLUS double the mortgage payments.

Had the minimum downpayments been 10%, 7 years ago and if it had prevented these sky rocketing increases I could agree with you. However as it is, the low down payments (in some cases 0%) and low interest rates created this ridiculous increase . With this I can agree with you. However I don't agree that making every buyer who wants to enter the market NOW come up with the extra money is the solution. I thnk it would have a very negative effect on the market, very quickly.

Freeman

Freeman
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Is this move a pre-cursor to the increase in interest rates by the Bank of Canada?

Freeman

Freeman
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grumpyrom wrote:I get what your saying Freeman but given that the prices have already risen so dramatically in such a short period, it would have a drastic negative effect to double the down payment at this time.

7 years ago my best friend bought his home in River Heights for $135,000...at that time a 10% down payment would have been $13.5K. Same home now would fetch around $250-260,000...at 5% down right now you can buy that home with roughly the same down payment BUT the mortgage payments would be roughly double. Now double the down payment to 10% and you need an extra $13K...PLUS double the mortgage payments.

Had the minimum downpayments been 10%, 7 years ago and if it had prevented these sky rocketing increases I could agree with you. However as it is, the low down payments (in some cases 0%) and low interest rates created this ridiculous increase . With this I can agree with you. However I don't agree that making every buyer who wants to enter the market NOW come up with the extra money is the solution. I thnk it would have a very negative effect on the market, very quickly.

So, like all things government, this move is too late?

grumpy old man

grumpy old man
administrator
administrator

GGF wrote:And what truly gets me going is how the federal government continues to refuse to "Tax Canadian Banks" on their profits...GGF
This is an absurd assertion. The banks pay tax on their income. What are you suggesting?

While formulating your answer, consider that Canadian banks have been remarkably stable during this recession. It is, IMHO, the single biggest reason Canada has been able to mostly ride out the recession.

Indeed Canadian banks are now the model many countries are following as they rebuild their economies.

GGF

GGF
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major-contributor

JTF you said:

No money down and 35 year amortizations will lead to a collapse of the market, just like the States.

JTF the Federal government has never proposed the No Money Down option but the new regulations coming in April will instead increased the down payment required and shorten the number of amortization years and will also force you to be able to pre qualify for the 5yrs interest rate eligibility etc...GGF

grumpy old man

grumpy old man
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I think it is safe to assume that many factors have gone into the housing boom in Winnipeg. Lower interest rates. Easier credit.

But pent up demand and a change in lifestyle mostly though has driven the price of houses. The Winnipeg housing market has been largely undervalued for several years. Decades maybe.

But no ONE factor is driving this market.

grumpy old man

grumpy old man
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administrator

It is not entirely a bad thing to introduce banking regulations that ensure Canadians never follow the road Americans did. Let's ensure people can truly afford their mortgages.

Freeman

Freeman
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So, these new regulations move us farther from the factors that lead to the US meltdown, and had they been put in place years ago, or at least some of them, the market may not have been as volatile.

I think that the catch is the volatility of the market. Real estate has and always will, tradtionally increase in value, but as said, low rates, pent up demand and the alignment of the moon and the stars, have lead to substantial increase in values in Winnipeg.

grumpyrom

grumpyrom
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GGF, it will only increase down payments required for 2nd properties, not for first time buyers. It was originally felt that they would increase the minimum down payment for first time buyers, but this did not materialize.

And Freeman, yes you are correct...the proposed changes would have been too late to cool the market. It would have only killed it....lol.

Freeman

Freeman
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grumpyrom wrote:And Freeman, yes you are correct...the proposed changes would have been too late to cool the market. It would have only killed it....lol.

Spoken like a true realtor. Only in Canada Would The Government want to Slow down The one thing That is working - Page 3 Icon_smile

grumpyrom

grumpyrom
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grumpy old man wrote:It is not entirely a bad thing to introduce banking regulations that ensure Canadians never follow the road Americans did. Let's ensure people can truly afford their mortgages.

Agreed, but making too many changes too quickly now, especially AFTER affordability has eroded would only serve to add more volatility to the market.

I think most of the moves made were fair and reasonable. Really the only people it has a huge impact on are the "flippers" who are the ones responsible for a large protion of this mess to begin with.

grumpyrom

grumpyrom
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Freeman wrote:
grumpyrom wrote:And Freeman, yes you are correct...the proposed changes would have been too late to cool the market. It would have only killed it....lol.

Spoken like a true realtor. Only in Canada Would The Government want to Slow down The one thing That is working - Page 3 Icon_smile

No spoken like someone who would have gone from being able to buy in the next 12-18 months, to someone who could buy in another 4 to 5 years.

I'm sure I'm not the only one it would have removed from the market completely.

GGF

GGF
major-contributor
major-contributor

GOM you said:

I think it is safe to assume that many factors have gone into the housing boom in Winnipeg. Lower interest rates. Easier credit.

But pent up demand and a change in lifestyle mostly though has driven the price of houses. The Winnipeg housing market has been largely undervalued for several years. Decades maybe.

But no ONE factor is driving this market.

Your right about that GOM but low interest rates has been the biggest of all factors and it is also the reason why the Federal government is bringing in the new mortgage regulations in April...and...

And the feds are getting worried that the ones who will have to renew their mortgages at the new rates are going to find themselves in a bit of a squeeze...and...

And analysts are simply saying at the moment that the new mortgage regulations are to little to late...and...

And the cat has long been out of the bag already...and...

And that with these new mortgage regulations along with higher interest rates that are coming soon that the 2 combined will kill the housing market in Canada...and...

And I am a firm believer that it will kill the housing market...GGF

Freeman

Freeman
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grumpyrom wrote:
Freeman wrote:
grumpyrom wrote:And Freeman, yes you are correct...the proposed changes would have been too late to cool the market. It would have only killed it....lol.

Spoken like a true realtor. Only in Canada Would The Government want to Slow down The one thing That is working - Page 3 Icon_smile

No spoken like someone who would have gone from being able to buy in the next 12-18 months, to someone who could buy in another 4 to 5 years.

I'm sure I'm not the only one it would have removed from the market completely.

I can feel for that. With the increase in the market, rental vacancies have decreased and rates have increased, so its harder to save.
Its still hard to look at some of these north end properties listed for $100,000+, and its only speculators that will have a piece of that.

GGF

GGF
major-contributor
major-contributor

Freeman you said:

I think that the catch is the volatility of the market. Real estate has and always will, tradtionally increase in value, but as said, low rates, pent up demand and the alignment of the moon and the stars, have lead to substantial increase in values in Winnipeg.

Freeman analysts are saying right now that once demand dries up the same properties could be worth less money in the very near future which means what?...

Devaluation of the same property...and...

And or all other properties...GGF

grumpy old man

grumpy old man
administrator
administrator

GGF wrote:You're right about that GOM, but low interest rates has been the biggest of all factors and it is also the reason why the Federal government is bringing in the new mortgage regulations in April.
Umm, why is this again? The federal government is changing the regulations in an effort to increase interest rates for hosuing? You have any idea what raising the interest rate would do to the Canadian economy?
The feds are getting worried that the ones who will have to renew their mortgages at the new rates are going to find themselves in a bit of a squeeze.
I don't get it. What is the Federal government worried about?
Analysts are simply saying at the moment that the new mortgage regulations are too little too late.
Who is saying this? What do they mean by that?
The cat has long been out of the bag already.
What in the world does this mean?
That with these new mortgage regulations along with higher interest rates that are coming soon that the 2 combined will kill the housing market in Canada.
Why? Do you believe only the young and poor are driving the housing market? Don't you think that this is a gross over-reaction to some need banking controls?
I am a firm believer that it will kill the housing market. GGF
Saying it often does not make it more true though...

Guest

Anonymous
Guest

There are hard times coming people are carrying to much debt never mind goverments.

Freeman

Freeman
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uber-contributor

Opinions are like a$$holes, everyone has one. I can appreciate grumprom's position as he tries to buy a house and it gets tougher, from my point, it doesn't matter as I have no immediate plans to move, but what is it in other posters life that influences their opinions on this subject.

grumpy old man

grumpy old man
administrator
administrator

GGF wrote:
Freeman you said:

I think that the catch is the volatility of the market. Real estate has and always will, traditionally increase in value, but as said, low rates, pent up demand and the alignment of the moon and the stars, have lead to substantial increase in values in Winnipeg.

Freeman,
analysts are saying right now that once demand dries up the same properties could be worth less money in the very near future which means what?
...

Devaluation of the same property or all other properties... GGF
Which analysts do you refer to? Are you talking about a specific market (e.g. Winnipeg)?

Can you provide detail or is this just your opinion?

grumpy old man

grumpy old man
administrator
administrator

Pavolo wrote:There are hard times coming. People are carrying too much debt, never mind goverment.
Canadians are indeed carrying increased debt. Another great reason for banks to begin clamping down on credit. I don't see the recession getting worse though in Canada. So maybe it'll be more difficult for just a few irresponsible people.

Guest

Anonymous
Guest

grumpyrom wrote:
Freeman wrote:
grumpyrom wrote:And Freeman, yes you are correct...the proposed changes would have been too late to cool the market. It would have only killed it....lol.

Spoken like a true realtor. Only in Canada Would The Government want to Slow down The one thing That is working - Page 3 Icon_smile

No spoken like someone who would have gone from being able to buy in the next 12-18 months, to someone who could buy in another 4 to 5 years.

I'm sure I'm not the only one it would have removed from the market completely.


But always look on the bright side....


You did not pay $300,000 for a house that's really worth about $69,500.

...and


You are still able to rent a three bedroom apartment for $450.00 all inclusive because of rewnt controls.

Freeman

Freeman
uber-contributor
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[quote="JTF
...and


You are still able to rent a three bedroom apartment for $450.00 all inclusive.[/quote]

...and, if you can't, contact JTF, he might have a deal for you.

and please don't start using "and" with every line.

grumpyrom

grumpyrom
major-contributor
major-contributor

JTF wrote:
grumpyrom wrote:
Freeman wrote:
grumpyrom wrote:And Freeman, yes you are correct...the proposed changes would have been too late to cool the market. It would have only killed it....lol.

Spoken like a true realtor. Only in Canada Would The Government want to Slow down The one thing That is working - Page 3 Icon_smile

No spoken like someone who would have gone from being able to buy in the next 12-18 months, to someone who could buy in another 4 to 5 years.

I'm sure I'm not the only one it would have removed from the market completely.


But always look on the bright side....


You did not pay $300,000 for a house that's really worth about $69,500.

...and


You are still able to rent a three bedroom apartment for $450.00 all inclusive because of rewnt controls.

HaHaHaHa...good luck finding that 3br apartment for $450. More like $1,100 to $1,300. I know plenty of people paying $700/monthly for a 1br.

I'm fortunate enough to be renting a decent home in Crescentwood for LESS than it would cost (monthly) to own.

The rental market is not at all what you make it out to be. At least not for anything away from the slums.

I do agree with you though about the value of buying a $100k home for $300k. That's why I'm sitting out untill I can afford to go straight into a new home. I could have already bought something older for $150-200k, but I dont see the value in it.

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